Medvedev vs Karatsev: prediction for the Mallorca Open match

Daniil Medvedev vs Aslan Karatsev. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Mallorca (June 22, 2022).

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

Russian Federation
22.06.2022
17:00 EAT
Mallorca Championships
Mallorca, Spain
Aslan Karatsev

Aslan Karatsev

Russian Federation
Medvedev vs Karatsev: prediction for the Mallorca Open match

Daniil Medvedev faces Aslan Karatsev in the Round of 16 of the Mallorca Open on June 22. Who will progress to the quarterfinals? Here's our prediction.

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev has so far been excellent on grass courts in 2022. He reached the finals both in 's-Hertogenbosch and in Halle. However, the World №1 suffered defeats in both cases. THe Russian star is defending his title in Mallorca - last year, he defeated Sam Querrey in straight sets in the final match (6-4, 6-2). 

Aslan Karatsev

Aslan Karatsev, on the other hand, is in poor form. Last week in Halle, he made a first-round exit following his defeat to Karen Khachanov. At the current tournament, Karatsev celebrated success over Jaume Munar in three sets (3-6, 6-1, 6-3) in his opener. Before that win, the Russian athlete was on a five-match losing streak. 

Betting trends

Tie-break - yes
2.36
bet365.com

In the last 5 matches, Medvedev played 2 tie-breaks.

1st set: total over 9.5 games
1.82
bet365.com

In 3 of Karatsev's last 5 matches, more than 9 games were played in the first set.

Prediction

Interestingly, Medvedev has never won against Karatsev. The Russians have faced off three times, and every time Karatsev got the upper hand. Medvedev doesn't like playing against aggressive attacking opponents, such as Karatsev. We will take a risk and back the underdog in this match. 

Our prediction - Karatsev to win

Prediction: Karatsev to win

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The last two head-to-head matches were short. We expect this Russian derby to be over quickly, too - Karatsev's style fits the grass surface perfectly, and he can close his opponent in two sets. 

Second prediction - total under 22 games

Prediction: Total under 22

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Betting predictions stat

645Tips
330Win
64Refund
251Losing
10.9% of revenue
693Tips
341Win
65Refund
287Losing
-17.4% of revenue